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A French Lesson: What the Country That Comes Out of the Elections Has to Teach Us
by [Name]
The France, today, is red!
After the failure of President Emmanuel Macron’s strategy, which dissolved the Parliament and provoked new elections, counting on the atomization of the French left, which did not happen, on the contrary, the left formed the New Popular Front, and it overran the Reagrupamento fascista and achieved an unexpected victory and built a new majority in the French National Assembly.
What happened?
The French legislative election takes place in two rounds. If a candidate from a certain district exceeds 50% of the valid votes, he is elected in the first round. If not, a second round is held, bringing together all the candidates who obtained at least 12.5% of the votes in the district in the first round of the election.
And the prevailing regime is semi-presidential, where the president chooses a prime minister to govern and is not obliged to appoint a name of preference from the absolute majority that, however, can dismiss the prime minister indicated, through a mechanism called veto of distrust.
The scenario of the French elections was drawn from the success of the RN – Reagrupamento Nacional party, an extreme-right party, in the European Parliament elections, when it obtained more than a third of the valid votes. This led Macron to dissolve the Parliament.
The success of the Reagrupamento Nacional in the European elections on June 9 led Macron to anticipate the legislative elections, which were scheduled for 2027. The UOL columnist Jamil Chade pointed out two variables that determined the president’s decision:
- In the most optimistic scenario, he could form a broad front and block the advance of the extreme right, as happened in the presidential elections won by him in 2017 and 2022;
- In the worst scenario, he would expose the inability of the extreme right to govern and prevent a victory of the Reagrupamento Nacional in the 2027 presidential election, maintaining the status quo and his position as a center aggregator of democratic forces.
Several political analysts point out the risk of the move, as The New York Times. And it happened that the shot went awry, with the New Popular Front winning clearly on Sunday (7) in the second round of the legislative elections in France. Then came the followers of Macron, and in third place, the extreme right represented by the Reagrupamento Nacional, considered and considered until the eve of the elections as a virtual winner of a second round that would repeat the first, where it had occurred its victory.
Sixty-seven percent of voters attended on Sunday to vote; it was the highest participation recorded during a second round in over 40 years.
The National Assembly has 577 seats. To form a majority and define the prime minister, 289 seats are needed. No group obtained an absolute majority in the second round. Leaders of the left bloc have already indicated that they may ally with the center to form a majority and ensure governability. After the count, the composition of the French National Assembly is as follows:
- New Popular Front, left: 182 seats;
- Together, center: 168 seats;
- Reagrupamento Nacional, extreme right: 143 seats.
But these divisions simply masked a fact: without unity, the left parties in France would not have had a chance in these early elections, increasing the chances of victory for the Rassemblement National. In Paris and other cities, thousands of people held rallies throughout the week, demanding unity from the left. On Saturday, June 15, hundreds of thousands of people are expected to take to the streets again on the first day of national action against the Rassemblement National. And with a program of action to be the mortar that will sustain political unity.
The “legislative compromise” of the left seeks a clear break with the years of Macron, which have eroded the protective framework of the welfare state and public services.
In the programmatic radar of the left, one is essential to inspire also the Brazilians. The militancy needs to be retaken, with the intensity of the old times, as the French have proven. And that the militancy of the streets, of actions, of feelings, of analog and presential militancy, which still imposes respect on fascism. It is the left that offers the best lessons that History advances with the activism of those who do not omit themselves.
[Name] is an urbanist and social activist and specialist in local economic development. Exiled for years in Belgium, he closely follows European politics. Specialist in medium-sized cities, with a focus on institutional and economic development, he was also a university professor at PUC-GO and UniEvangélica in Anápolis. He is a collaborator of the Rede BrCidades.
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